Ultrapar Participacoes Sa Stock Performance
| UGP Stock | USD 5.13 0.02 0.39% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ultrapar Participacoes holds a performance score of 15. The entity has a beta of 1.06, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Ultrapar Participacoes returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ultrapar Participacoes is expected to follow. Please check Ultrapar Participacoes' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Ultrapar Participacoes' existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultrapar Participacoes SA are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Ultrapar Participacoes reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.39) | Five Day Return (1.91) | Year To Date Return 34.29 | Ten Year Return (29.34) | All Time Return 327.5 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0616 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.32 | Dividend Date 2025-12-26 |
1 | 9 Best Affordable Stocks Under 5 to Buy for the Next 3 Years - Insider Monkey | 12/05/2025 |
2 | What Does Wall Street Think About Ultrapar Participaes S.A. | 12/09/2025 |
3 | Here is Why Ultrapar Participaes Fell This Week | 12/12/2025 |
4 | How Recent Analyst Moves Are Rewriting the Story for Ultrapar Participaes | 12/16/2025 |
| Ultrapar Participacoes dividend paid on 26th of December 2025 | 12/26/2025 |
5 | Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Ultrapar Participacoes Stock | 12/30/2025 |
6 | Ultrapar Participacoes Stock Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat | 01/12/2026 |
7 | Ultrapar Participacoes Reaches Analyst Target Price - Nasdaq | 01/16/2026 |
8 | Are Investors Undervaluing Ultrapar Participacoes Right Now | 02/03/2026 |
9 | A major investor reduces stake in Ultrapar Participaes while UGP endorses AI corporate policy - MSN | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.9 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6.4 B |
Ultrapar Participacoes Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 396.00 in Ultrapar Participacoes SA on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 117.00 from holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA or generate 29.55% return on investment over 90 days. Ultrapar Participacoes SA is generating 0.4607% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3884% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Ultrapar, and above 91% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Ultrapar Participacoes Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Ultrapar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.13 | 90 days | 5.13 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ultrapar Participacoes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Ultrapar Participacoes SA probability density function shows the probability of Ultrapar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Ultrapar Participacoes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ultrapar Participacoes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ultrapar Participacoes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ultrapar Participacoes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ultrapar Participacoes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ultrapar Participacoes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ultrapar Participacoes SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ultrapar Participacoes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Ultrapar Participacoes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ultrapar Participacoes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ultrapar Participacoes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 26th of December 2025 Ultrapar Participacoes paid $ 0.1651 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: A major investor reduces stake in Ultrapar Participaes while UGP endorses AI corporate policy - MSN |
Ultrapar Participacoes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ultrapar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ultrapar Participacoes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ultrapar Participacoes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Ultrapar Participacoes Fundamentals Growth
Ultrapar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ultrapar Participacoes, and Ultrapar Participacoes fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ultrapar Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0699 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.3 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.07 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 16.67 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.74 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.04 X | ||||
| Revenue | 133.5 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 8.93 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 5.06 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.36 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.67 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.57 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 15.79 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.94 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.74 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.51 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.48 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 39.56 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 8.2 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 5.55 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 9.91 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 3.83 B | ||||
About Ultrapar Participacoes Performance
Assessing Ultrapar Participacoes' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ultrapar Participacoes' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ultrapar Participacoes is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 13.28 | 17.00 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Ultrapar Participacoes performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultrapar Participacoes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ultrapar Participacoes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 26th of December 2025 Ultrapar Participacoes paid $ 0.1651 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: A major investor reduces stake in Ultrapar Participaes while UGP endorses AI corporate policy - MSN |
- Analyzing Ultrapar Participacoes' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ultrapar Participacoes' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Ultrapar Participacoes' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Ultrapar Participacoes' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ultrapar Participacoes' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ultrapar Participacoes' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ultrapar Participacoes' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Ultrapar Stock Analysis
When running Ultrapar Participacoes' price analysis, check to measure Ultrapar Participacoes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultrapar Participacoes is operating at the current time. Most of Ultrapar Participacoes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultrapar Participacoes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultrapar Participacoes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultrapar Participacoes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.